Using the yield spread to forecast recessions and recoveries
The yield spread indicates the likelihood of a recession or recovery one year forward.
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Category: Charts
Current market rates
Where are mortgage rates now? Check out our weekly interest rate update to track the latest market rates.
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ARMs are unattractive in 2020 as FRM rates fall
Use these charts to compare the average ARM rate with the 30-year FRM rate.
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Buyer purchasing power props up home prices, for now; Monthly Statistical Update (August 2020)
Buyer Purchasing Power Index (BPPI) rises with falling interest rates; Home sales volume succumbs to economic pressure; Home prices continue to defy gravity
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California tiered home pricing
Home prices turn in a mixed performance across California’s metropolitan areas.
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California home sales volume lays low
Home sales volume is expected to continue its decrease in 2020.
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California household formations set to decrease
While the number of households continues to grow, the rise is mostly thanks to renters.
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Declining jobs mark a hold-cash phase in 2020; Monthly Statistical Update (July 2020)
Jobs lost puts a face on the 2020 recession; Stock market highs and lows as mostly momentum, not data based; Real estate investments are tangible and location counts — just not in 2020
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Jobs move real estate
California’s employment market finally reached a full recovery in 2019, only to plunge in 2020.
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Investing: Stocks or real estate?
Where to park your cash? It depends on how long you’re going to park it for – and what types of risks you’re willing to take.
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S&P 500: Stock pricing vs. earnings (P/E ratio)
An update on stock pricing and earnings.
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Rentals: the future of California real estate?
Rentals are the popular homeownership alternative for young adults.
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The slowing trend in California construction starts
Multi-family and SFR construction continue to lag behind demand for new housing.
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Today’s low interest rates aren’t enough to boost inventory, home sales volume; Monthly Statistical Update (June 2020)
30-year fixed rate mortgage (FRM) rates hit historic low; For-sale inventory drops; Home sales volume set to fall
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Inventory drops going into 2020, now set to climb
Inventory is once again near historic lows in 2020.
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San Diego housing indicators
View these charts for current activity and forecasts for San Diego’s housing market.
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San Francisco housing indicators
View these charts for current activity and forecasts for San Francisco’s housing market.
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Riverside housing indicators
View these Riverside regional charts for details on current activity and forecasts for its local housing market.
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Los Angeles housing indicators
View these Los Angeles regional charts for details on current activity and forecasts for its housing market.
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Santa Clara County regional housing indicators
Santa Clara County is well on its way to a full housing recovery.
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