Using the yield spread to forecast recessions and recoveries
The yield spread indicates the likelihood of a recession or recovery one year forward.
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Tag: inflation
How indexing capital gains to inflation would impact California’s housing market
California stands to benefit the most from this proposal due to its infamously high home values.
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POLL: What is the greatest concern voiced by today’s buyers?
What is the greatest concern voiced by today's buyers? Price inflation. (47%, 30 Votes) Rising...
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California price-per-square-foot analysis
Want a deeper understanding of your local real estate market? These charts show the price-per-square-foot history of home sales in communities across California.
Read More![Inflation’s impact on 2017’s housing market [charts]](https://journal.firsttuesday.us/wp-content/uploads/hot-air-balloon.jpg)
Inflation’s impact on 2017’s housing market [charts]
Mortgage rates interact closely with the U.S. inflation rate.
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San Jose rent increases limited to 5%
The San Jose city council voted to make significant changes to the city’s 37-year-old rent control ordinance, including a new rent increase cap.
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The gold standard: not as reliable as you think
Holdouts for the gold standard believe gold’s fixed supply will create stable, reliable currency. Here’s why that’s not the case.
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Inflation nowcasting at the Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve explains how current inflation rates forecast future inflation trends. Related...
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Why inflation is low and why it matters
The Federal Reserve explains the negative effects of low inflation on price stability.
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Economics update: the high cost of low inflation
Is anybody in the real estate industry worried about our dangerously low inflation rate? They ought to be.
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Janet Yellen: a dove with talons
The ritual flogging began on Capitol Hill this week to test Janet Yellen’s worth as the next Chairperson of the Federal Reserve.
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Yellen to lead the Fed: good news for California’s housing industry?
Will Yellen’s ties to California and her commitment to jobs and transparency help our housing recovery?
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Positive indicators aside, it’s still time to go negative
If aliens visited earth today, they might conclude that we have a very strong economy.
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The gold standard lost its shine a long time ago
The recovery is slow. The Fed circulates more money. Inflation hawks call for a return to the gold standard. Who’s right?
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High anxiety over the Fed’s exit
The Federal Reserve (the Fed) has promised to continue its expansionary efforts of pumping more money into the economy well into 2015.
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The Fed’s flagging confidence
The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is starting to sound like a needy lover — willing to say anything to...
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The votes are in: core inflation is misleading!
Readers weigh in on topics affecting the California real estate industry.
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Self-fulfilling prophecies: the real estate bubble both ways
Do buyer expectations ultimately shape real estate prices? This article examines both sides of the real estate bubble and proposes that ending vicious real estate cycles will remove the power of herd mentality.
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Inflation at its core
Is it misleading to remove the cost of food and energy from the CPI measure of inflation? Do rising food and energy prices – commodities – alone portend a coming age of hyperinflation?
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Hyperinflation — yesterday’s news
The Federal Reserve has tripled the monetary base over the last four years and inflation remains below two percent. Despite the Fed’s money pumping, hyperinflation is not afoot.
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